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AFL – Round 16 2018 Preview, Best Bets, and Promotions

afl-previews-header AFL – Round 16 2018 Preview, Best Bets, and Promotions

Preview of AFL Round 16 with Best Bets for every game

The following AFL Round 16 Preview will provide an overview of each game and our best betting predictions.


Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats

July 5, 2018 7:20 pm @ the SCG
Odds: Swans $1.45, Cats $2.75

Betting preview of the Swans versus the Cats at the SCG on Thursday.

Swans Form:

In Round 15, the Swans were easily beaten against the Tigers by 26 points at Etihad Stadium. But they are sitting in the top four on the ladder with a 10-4 record. In the forward line, they are scoring 86 ppg, which ranks 7th in the AFL. In defence, they’re hard to score against as they allow 71 points per game and that ranks 3rd in the AFL.

Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 26 – Swans 11.1.67, Tigers 14.9.93 – Round 15, 2018
WON by 15 – Swans 10.12.72, Eagles 7.15.57 – Round 13, 2018
WON by 71 – Swans 19.12.126, Saints 7.13.55 – Round 12, 2018
WON by 30 – Swans 13.13.91, Blues 9.7.61 – Round 11, 2018
WON by 18 – Swans 10.7.67, Lions 6.13.49 – Round 10, 2018

Cats Form:

The Cats only just lost against the Bulldogs last round by 2 points at Etihad Stadium. They are sitting 8th on the ladder with a 8-6 record and need to win this for their top 8 hopes.
Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 2 – Cats 15.11.101, Bulldogs 16.7.103 – Round 15, 2018
LOST by 18 – Cats 9.11.65, Tigers 12.11.83 – Round 13, 2018
WON by 37 – Cats 14.12.96, Kangaroos 8.11.59 – Round 12, 2018
WON by 85 – Cats 17.19.121, Suns 4.12.36 – Round 11, 2018
WON by 28 – Cats 11.7.73, Blues 5.15.45 – Round 10, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Tied: 8-8
Last 2 Meetings:

Swans won by 17 points – Round 6, 2018 – Swans 10.9.69 d Cats 12.14.86 (155 total points)
Cats won by 59 points – Semi Final, 2017 – Cats 5.9.39 d Swans 15.8.98 (137 total points)

Prediction:

The Cats weren’t great against the Dogs last week and Sydney are playing very well at home of late. So get on the Swans 1-39 in a close encounter.
Swans 1-39 $2.15

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Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows

July 6, 2018 7:50 pm @ the MCG
Odds: Tigers $1.20, Crows $4.60

Betting preview of the Tigers versus the Crows at the MCG on Friday.

Tigers Form:

In Round 15, the Tigers won against the Swans by 26 points at Etihad Stadium. They’re sitting on top of the ladder after 15 rounds with an imposing 11-3 record. They are scoring 97 ppg, which ranks 2nd in the AFL and they allow just 71 points in the backline.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 26 – Tigers 14.9.93, Swans 11.1.67 – Round 15, 2018
WON by 18 – Tigers 12.11.83, Cats 9.11.65 – Round 13, 2018
LOST by 14 – Tigers 8.10.58, Power 10.12.72 – Round 12, 2018
WON by 71 – Tigers 17.12.114, Bombers 6.7.43 – Round 11, 2018
WON by 28 – Tigers 15.15.105, Saints 12.5.77 – Round 10, 2018

Crows Form:

In Round 15, the Crows were victorious against the Eagles by 10 points at the Adelaide Oval. The Crows are sitting in the bottom eight after a 7-7 record. But they’ve won a few in a row and have a few of their better players returning to form.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 10 – Crows 12.16.88, Eagles 12.6.78 – Round 15, 2018
LOST by 56 – Crows 4.8.32, Hawks 12.16.88 – Round 13, 2018
LOST by 3 – Crows 9.14.68, Dockers 10.11.71 – Round 12, 2018
LOST by 16 – Crows 11.15.81, Giants 14.13.97 – Round 11, 2018
LOST by 91 – Crows 8.7.55, Demons 23.8.146 – Round 10, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Crows: 6-5
Last 2 Meetings:

Crows won by 36 points – Round 2, 2018 – Crows 12.10.82 d Tigers 18.10.118 (200 total points)
Tigers won by 48 points – Grand Final, 2017 – Tigers 8.12.60 d Crows 16.12.108 (168 total points)

Prediction:

The Crows come into the Grand Final rematch with good form. But the demons of last year’s loss will see the Tigers take them down again by a 1-39 margin.
Tigers 1-39 $2.20

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Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues

July 7, 2018 1:45 pm @ the Gabba
Odds: Lions $1.38, Blues $3.05

Betting preview of the Lions versus the Blues at the Gabba on Saturday.

Lions Form:

For the Lions, they trashed the Dockers by 55 points last round at Optus Stadium. So they will aim for a rare winning streak when they meet the Blues at the Gabba.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 55 – Lions 18.11.119, Dockers 9.10.64 – Round 15, 2018
LOST by 27 – Lions 12.10.82, Giants 16.13.109 – Round 14, 2018
LOST by 22 – Lions 8.14.62, Bombers 12.12.84 – Round 12, 2018
LOST by 54 – Lions 12.15.87, Kangaroos 21.15.141 – Round 11, 2018
LOST by 18 – Lions 6.13.49, Swans 10.7.67 – Round 10, 2018

Blues Form:

The Blues were well beaten against the Power last round by 21 points at the MCG. They are on a 7 match losing streak and sit inside the bottom four as they hold a 1-13 record. They rank 17th in the AFL for points scored (63) and 18th for points allowed (99).

Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 21 – Blues 10.9.69, Power 13.12.90 – Round 15, 2018
LOST by 20 – Blues 9.5.59, Magpies 11.13.79 – Round 14, 2018
LOST by 57 – Blues 6.10.46, Dockers 15.13.103 – Round 13, 2018
LOST by 30 – Blues 9.7.61, Swans 13.13.91 – Round 11, 2018
LOST by 28 – Blues 5.15.45, Cats 11.7.73 – Round 10, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Tied: 6-6
Last 2 Meetings:

Lions won by 30 points – Round 18, 2017 – Lions 17.10.112 d Blues 11.16.82 (194 total points)
Lions won by 4 points – Round 21, 2016 – Lions 15.9.99 d Blues 13.17.95 (194 total points)

Prediction:

The Lions comeback from Perth full of confidence after a huge win over the Dockers. They enjoy playing the Blues, especially at the Gabba and should win this fairly easily.
Lions -18.5 $1.91

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Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints

July 7, 2018 4:35 pm @ the Adelaide Oval
Odds: Power $1.13, Saints $6.00

Betting preview of the Power versus the Saints at the Adelaide Oval on Saturday.

Power Form:

For the Power, they won against the Blues by 21 points last round at the MCG. After the win, they have now won 4 straight matches. They are sitting 5th on the ladder with a 10-4 record and will be pushing for a top 4 finish.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 21 – Power 13.12.90, Blues 10.9.69 – Round 15, 2018
WON by 10 – Power 11.9.75, Demons 9.11.65 – Round 14, 2018
WON by 57 – Power 20.12.132, Bulldogs 11.9.75 – Round 13, 2018
WON by 14 – Power 10.12.72, Tigers 8.10.58 – Round 12, 2018
LOST by 3 – Power 9.7.61, Hawks 9.10.64 – Round 11, 2018

Saints Form:

The Saints survived in Round 15 as they just won against the Demons 119-117. They are sitting inside the bottom four as they hold a 3-10 (1 draw) record. They’ve struggled for points as they score 71 per match in 2018 but that wasn’t a problem last week.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 2 – Saints 18.11.119, Demons 18.9.117 – Round 15, 2018
WON by 2 – Saints 11.14.80, Suns 11.12.78 – Round 13, 2018
LOST by 71 – Saints 7.13.55, Swans 19.12.126 – Round 12, 2018
LOST by 13 – Saints 14.4.88, Eagles 16.5.101 – Round 11, 2018
LOST by 28 – Saints 12.5.77, Tigers 15.15.105 – Round 10, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Power: 7-2
Last 2 Meetings:

Power won by 2 points – Round 19, 2017 – Power 9.9.63 d Saints 8.13.61 (124 total points)
Power won by 33 points – Round 1, 2016 – Power 20.13.133 d Saints 15.10.100 (233 total points)

Prediction:

The Saints are in decent form at the moment and they did almost beat the Power last season at this venue. Saints at the line.
Saints +39.5 $1.91

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Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Hawks

July 7, 2018 7:25 pm @ Etihad Stadium
Odds: Bulldogs $2.70, Hawks $1.47

Betting preview of the Bulldogs versus the Hawks at Etihad Stadium on Saturday.

Bulldogs Form:

In Round 15, the Bulldogs just won against the Cats by 2 points at Etihad Stadium. They are sitting inside the bottom eight with a 5-9 record. But they have played well against the Cats and Kangaroos recently, two sides near the eight.
Last 5 Matches:
WON by 2 – Bulldogs 16.7.103, Cats 15.11.101 – Round 15, 2018
LOST by 2 – Bulldogs 11.9.75, Kangaroos 12.5.77 – Round 14, 2018
LOST by 57 – Bulldogs 11.9.75, Power 20.12.132 – Round 13, 2018
LOST by 49 – Bulldogs 7.9.51, Demons 15.10.100 – Round 11, 2018
LOST by 35 – Bulldogs 8.7.55, Magpies 13.12.90 – Round 10, 2018

Hawks Form:

In Round 15, the Hawks were beaten against the Giants at Spotless Stadium by 11 points. They are just outside the top eight with a 8-6 record and need to win this clash.

Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 11 – Hawks 13.6.84, Giants 13.17.95 – Round 15, 2018
WON by 53 – Hawks 13.18.96, Suns 5.13.43 – Round 14, 2018
WON by 56 – Hawks 12.16.88, Crows 4.8.32 – Round 13, 2018
WON by 3 – Hawks 9.10.64, Power 9.7.61 – Round 11, 2018
LOST by 15 – Hawks 9.6.60, Eagles 11.9.75 – Round 10, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Hawks: 9-2
Last 2 Meetings:

Hawks won by 9 points – Round 23, 2017 – Hawks 13.12.90 d Bulldogs 15.9.99 (189 total points)
Bulldogs won by 23 points – Semi Final, 2016 – Bulldogs 12.12.84 d Hawks 16.11.107 (191 total points)

Prediction:

The Bulldogs really enjoy playing at Etihad and I do seem having success against the Hawks, who aren’t in great form.
Bulldogs +14.5 $1.91

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Melbourne Demons vs Fremantle Dockers

July 7, 2018 7:40 pm @ TIO Stadium
Odds: Demons $1.13, Dockers $6.00

Betting preview of the Demons versus the Dockers at TIO Stadium on Saturday.

Demons Form:

In Round 15, the Demons only just lost against the Saints by 2 points at the MCG. After the defeat, they extended their losing streak to 3 matches. But they are sitting inside the top eight with a 8-6 record. They are scoring 104 ppg, which ranks 1st in the AFL and that continue against the Dockers.

Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 2 – Demons 18.9.117, Saints 18.11.119 – Round 15, 2018
LOST by 10 – Demons 9.11.65, Power 11.9.75 – Round 14, 2018
LOST by 42 – Demons 14.7.91, Magpies 20.13.133 – Round 12, 2018
WON by 49 – Demons 15.10.100, Bulldogs 7.9.51 – Round 11, 2018
WON by 91 – Demons 23.8.146, Crows 8.7.55 – Round 10, 2018

Dockers Form:

The Dockers weren’t impressive against the Lions last round by 55 points at Optus Stadium. The Dockers are sitting inside the bottom eight with a 6-8 record. They’ve scored on average 74 points per match. In the backline, they allow 87 points and that ranks 13th in the AFL.

Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 55 – Dockers 9.10.64, Lions 18.11.119 – Round 15, 2018
WON by 57 – Dockers 15.13.103, Blues 6.10.46 – Round 13, 2018
WON by 3 – Dockers 10.11.71, Crows 9.14.68 – Round 12, 2018
LOST by 61 – Dockers 12.5.77, Magpies 21.12.138 – Round 11, 2018
LOST by 28 – Dockers 8.10.58, Kangaroos 12.14.86 – Round 10, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Dockers: 9-2
Last 2 Meetings:

Dockers won by 2 points – Round 4, 2017 – Dockers 16.10.106 d Demons 15.14.104 (210 total points)
Demons won by 32 points – Round 16, 2016 – Demons 12.15.87 d Dockers 8.7.55 (142 total points)

Prediction:

The Dockers looked disinterested last week and the loss was compounded by a hamstring to Nat Fyfe. The Demons thrashed the Crows in their last match here and I can see a similar result.
Demons 40+ $1.92

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North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns

July 8, 2018 1:10 pm @ Etihad Stadium
Odds: Kangaroos $1.10, Suns $7.00

Betting preview of the Kangaroos versus the Suns at Etihad Stadium on Sunday.

Kangaroos Form:

For the Kangaroos, they were easily beaten against the Bombers last round by 17 points at Etihad Stadium. They’re scoring 87 ppg, which ranks 5th in the AFL and they should enjoy points against the lowly Suns defence.

Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 17 – Kangaroos 16.12.108, Bombers 19.11.125 – Round 15, 2018
WON by 2 – Kangaroos 12.5.77, Bulldogs 11.9.75 – Round 14, 2018
LOST by 37 – Kangaroos 8.11.59, Cats 14.12.96 – Round 12, 2018
WON by 54 – Kangaroos 21.15.141, Lions 12.15.87 – Round 11, 2018
WON by 28 – Kangaroos 12.14.86, Dockers 8.10.58 – Round 10, 2018

Suns Form:

In Round 15, the Suns were easily beaten against the Magpies at Metricon Stadium by 39 points. They are now ridding a 7 match losing streak. They sit inside the bottom four as they hold a 3-11 record. They’ve struggled for points as they score 61 per game. While in defence, they concede 97 points per match, which ranks 16th in the AFL.

Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 39 – Suns 8.12.60, Magpies 14.15.99 – Round 15, 2018
LOST by 53 – Suns 5.13.43, Hawks 13.18.96 – Round 14, 2018
LOST by 2 – Suns 11.12.78, Saints 11.14.80 – Round 13, 2018
LOST by 108 – Suns 4.2.26, Giants 20.14.134 – Round 12, 2018
LOST by 85 – Suns 4.12.36, Cats 17.19.121 – Round 11, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Tied: 5-5
Last 2 Meetings:

Suns won by 16 points – Round 1, 2018 – Suns 5.9.39 d Kangaroos 7.13.55 (94 total points)
Suns won by 19 points – Round 15, 2017 – Suns 14.15.99 d Kangaroos 18.10.118 (217 total points)

Prediction:

Since the Suns won this matchup in Round 1, the two sides have gone in very different directions. The Kangas are aiming for a finals spot and the Suns are looking to avoid the spoon. North by plenty.
Kangaroos -43.5 $1.91

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Essendon Bombers vs Collingwood Magpies

July 8, 2018 3:20 pm @ the MCG
Odds: Bombers $2.35, Magpies $1.60

Betting preview of the Bombers versus the Magpies at the MCG on Sunday.

Bombers Form:

For the Bombers, they won against the Kangaroos by 17 points last round at Etihad Stadium. After the win, they have now won 3 straight matches. The Bombers are sitting inside the bottom eight with a 7-7 record and it’s season on the line this Sunday.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 17 – Bombers 19.11.125, Kangaroos 16.12.108 – Round 15, 2018
WON by 28 – Bombers 12.8.80, Eagles 6.16.52 – Round 14, 2018
WON by 22 – Bombers 12.12.84, Lions 8.14.62 – Round 12, 2018
LOST by 71 – Bombers 6.7.43, Tigers 17.12.114 – Round 11, 2018
WON by 35 – Bombers 14.11.95, Giants 8.12.60 – Round 10, 2018

Magpies Form:

The Magpies won in Round 15 after a comfortable victory against the Suns 99-60. They are on a 6 match winning streak and they’re sitting near the top of the ladder after 15 rounds. They are scoring 94 ppg, which ranks 3rd in the AFL and they allow 77 points in the backline.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 39 – Magpies 14.15.99, Suns 8.12.60 – Round 15, 2018
WON by 20 – Magpies 11.13.79, Blues 9.5.59 – Round 14, 2018
WON by 42 – Magpies 20.13.133, Demons 14.7.91 – Round 12, 2018
WON by 61 – Magpies 21.12.138, Dockers 12.5.77 – Round 11, 2018
WON by 35 – Magpies 13.12.90, Bulldogs 8.7.55 – Round 10, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Magpies: 11-5
Last 2 Meetings:

Magpies won by 49 points – Round 5, 2018 – Magpies 7.10.52 d Bombers 14.17.101 (153 total points)
Bombers won by 37 points – Round 16, 2017 – Bombers 12.8.80 d Magpies 18.9.117 (197 total points)

Prediction:

Essendon are playing impressivly at the moment and so is Collingwood. So I do think this match will go down to the wire and be high scoring with the overs getting up at the ‘G.
Over 149.5 points $1.91

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West Coast Eagles vs GWS Giants

July 8, 2018 4:40 pm @ Optus Stadium
Odds: Eagles $1.57, Giants $2.40

Betting preview of the Eagles versus the Giants at Optus Stadium on Sunday.

Eagles Form:

In Round 15, the Eagles were just beaten against the Crows by 10 points at the Adelaide Oval. After the defeat, they extended their losing streak to 3 matches. They are just sitting in the top four on the ladder with a 10-4 record. In the forward line, they are scoring 92 ppg, which ranks 4th in the AFL. But without Darling and Kennedy, their scoring has fallen away recently.

Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 10 – Eagles 12.6.78, Crows 12.16.88 – Round 15, 2018
LOST by 28 – Eagles 6.16.52, Bombers 12.8.80 – Round 14, 2018
LOST by 15 – Eagles 7.15.57, Swans 10.12.72 – Round 13, 2018
WON by 13 – Eagles 16.5.101, Saints 14.4.88 – Round 11, 2018
WON by 15 – Eagles 11.9.75, Hawks 9.6.60 – Round 10, 2018

Giants Form:

The Giants were victorious in Round 15 as they beat the Hawks at Spotless Stadium. After the victory, they increased their winning streak to 4 matches. After Round 15, they are sitting inside the top eight with a 8-5 (1 draw) record.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 11 – Giants 13.17.95, Hawks 13.6.84 – Round 15, 2018
WON by 27 – Giants 16.13.109, Lions 12.10.82 – Round 14, 2018
WON by 108 – Giants 20.14.134, Suns 4.2.26 – Round 12, 2018
WON by 16 – Giants 14.13.97, Crows 11.15.81 – Round 11, 2018
LOST by 35 – Giants 8.12.60, Bombers 14.11.95 – Round 10, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Eagles: 6-3
Last 2 Meetings:

Eagles won by 25 points – Round 8, 2018 – Eagles 12.14.86 d Giants 8.13.61 (147 total points)
Giants won by 67 points – Semi Final, 2017 – Giants 9.4.58 d Eagles 19.11.125 (183 total points)

Prediction:

The Giants have a decent record against the Eagles since last season and they’re arguably in better form at the moment. So I’m taking them at the line as they could spring an upset.
Giants +9.5 $1.91

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