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Weekend Sports Betting Guide – 18/19/20 May 2018

NBA – Playoffs

Game 3 – Celtics at Cavaliers

20 May, 10:35am
Odds: Cavaliers $1.33, Celtics $3.40
The Celtics are leading this series 2-0 after two impressive performances at TD Garden. In game 1, they thrashed the Cavs in the first half on their way to a 108-83 win. Then in game 2, it was close but the Celtics outlasted them in the end with a 107-94 victory. So the series moves onto Cleveland for the next 2 games and the home side will be desperate for a win. The key as always is LeBron and he’s coming off 42 points in game 2. He’s averaging 33 points in his last 5 games and he’ll need to put up at least 40 points again. Because at the moment, he’s not getting much help. The Celtics have arguably the best D in the league and it’s showing in this series. They’re also playing mistake-free Basketball. In game 2, they committed just 5 turnovers compared to the Cavs 15 turnovers. But you would figure the Cavs can turn it around at home. They have a 6-2 record against the Celtics at home since 2016 and Boston has a 1-4 record in away games during the 2018 playoffs. It should still be a close contest in game 3, so the 1-10 margin is good value for the Cavs.
Best bet: Cavaliers 1-10 $2.45

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NHL – Playoffs

Game 4 – Lightning at Capitals

18 May, 10:05am
Odds: Capitals $1.87, Lightning $1.97
After losing the first two games of this series, the Lightning recorded a vital win in game 3 in Washington. They scored first and then opened up the game with 3 goals in the second quarter. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy was a beast as he stopped 36 of 38 shots. So we move onto game 4 in Washington with the Capitals up 2-1. This series has gone 3-0 to the away side but I do like the over goals. The total has reached 6 or more goals in all 3 games. Both sides are playing attacking Ice Hockey so this should be another high scoring affair. The Capitals are now 21-11-4 against the over in night games against them since 2010. Also, both sides have positive records against the over this season. The Capitals went 51-40-6 and the Lightning were 54-35-6.
Best bet: Over 6 goals $

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Rugby Union – Super Rugby

Hurricanes vs Reds

18 May, 5:35pm
Odds: Hurricanes $1.02, Reds $15.00
The Hurricanes have been installed as $1.02 favourites in this Friday night matchup. Mainly because of the Reds woeful performance last week. They conceded 63 points against the previously winless Sunwolves over in Japan. Now they have to travel to New Zealand and it won’t get any easier. The Hurricanes hold a perfect 6-0 record at home this season and they’ve also won 9 straight matches. They rank 1st in Super Rugby for points scored and their outside backs will be hard to stop. They also rank 1st for points allowed and they’ll face one of the worst attacking teams in Super Rugby. The Reds are scoring under 20 points per match this season and will find it hard to create space in this one. They’ve also lost 4 straight against the Hurricanes and have an 0-3 record in New Zealand against them. So in a likely smashing, take on the Hurricanes at the line.
Best bet: Hurricanes -27.5 $1.90

Waratahs vs Highlanders

19 May, 7:45pm
Odds: Waratahs $2.60, Highlanders $1.50
The Waratahs look to rebound after a very disappointing loss to the Crusaders. After jumping out to a 29-0 lead, they were held scoreless for the rest of the match as the Crusaders pulled off a 31-29 win. So they’ll face another test against the Highlanders. The NZ side is 6-2 against NSW since 2010 and they’re coming into this clash with good recent form. They’re 4-1 in their last 5 matches and 2-1 on the road. They have scored 29 points per match and also rank 4th in Super Rugby for points allowed. So they’ll look to continue their winning ways in Sydney. The Waratahs are a decent scoring team and the return of Israel Folau definitely helps. But the Highlanders record over them should see the line getting up for the away side. They’re 3-2 ATS versus the Waratahs.
Best bet: Highlanders -4.5 $1.90

Lions vs Brumbies

20 May, 1:15am
Odds: Lions $1.13, Brumbies $6.00
The ACT Brumbies head to South Africa for a clash with the Lions. After collapsing against the Rebels last week, the Brumbies will need to work on their second halves if they want to compete with the South African side. But looking at the head to head, they do enjoy playing over here against them. In 2015, they beat them 30-20 and back in 2012, they recorded a 34-20 win. They last met in 2017 and the Lions won a close contest in Canberra, 13-6. The Brumbies aren’t the best scoring team in Super Rugby but they do have a strong defence. They rank 5th for points allowed and should be able to keep the Lions attack quiet. Meanwhile, the Lions can have trouble in their defence as they allow 28 points per match. So the Brumbies should get plenty of opportunity to attack their line. So the line looks good value for the away side when looking at their record against them in South Africa.
Best bet: Brumbies +15.5 $1.90

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Soccer – FA Cup

Chelsea vs Man United

20 May, 2:15am
Odds: Chelsea $2.80, Man United $2.60
The EPL season is over but Chelsea and Man United will re-unite in the FA Cup final. The betting market is very tight with Man United just favourite at $2.60. They reached the final with a 2-1 win over Tottenham in the semi finals. Meanwhile, Chelsea beat Southampton 2-0. They’ve held their last 3 opponents at home scoreless and have scored 9 goals themselves. They also beat Man United in the last FA Cup matchup 1-0. So this should be another close contest. In the end, the both teams to score market looks good value. Both teams should be able to find the back of the net.
Best bet: Both teams to score $2.05

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