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Weekend Sports Betting Guide – 11/12 May 2018

NHL – Playoffs

Predators at Jets

11 May, 10:05am
Odds: Jets $2.30, Predators $1.63
This series comes down to the wire on Friday as game 7 takes place in Nashville. Both sides have gone win/loss in back to back games so this should be another close matchup, with a high chance of overtime. For the home side, they’re coming off a 4-0 road win, which kept the series alive. However, the Jets have performed well in away games. They thrashed them 6-2 in the last meeting in Nashville. In game 1, they opened the series with a 4-1 win and just lost in game 2 in overtime 5-4. So looking at the last few games in Nashville, both sides are scoring goals and that’s a good sign for the over total goals. It’s good value at $2.15 and has a good betting trend. The Predators are 9-6 against the over versus the Jets. In this series, they’ve beaten the over in 4 of 6 games. At home and playing after a win, they’re also 33-19-4 against the over. So this should be a high scoring affair with both team’s season on the line.
Best bet: Over 5.5 goals $2.15

Capitals at Lightning

12 May, 10:05am
Odds: Lightning $1.56, Capitals $2.50
Game 1 of the series between the Lightning and Capitals kicks off on Saturday morning. Tampa Bay beat the Bruins in 5 games to reach this series. They won the last 4 games to close out the Boston side. They’re 5-1 at home in the playoffs this season so they’ll be confident of beating the Capitals. The extra rest also helps them, especially since the Caps had a tough series against the Penguins. They won in 6 games after a 2-1 victory in Overtime in game 6. The game was in Pittsburgh so they’ll be prepared to take on the Lightning on their home ice. On the road in the playoffs, the Capitals are 5-1 as well. In the head to head, the Lightning beat them 4-2 on the road in February. They met at this venue last October and the home side won again, 4-3 in Overtime. So with home ice advantage, it’s hard to back against the Lightning. This is a safe bet, but they should be able to close out the Capitals in a close win.
Best bet: Lightning WIN $1.56

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bet-now-william-hill Weekend Sports Betting Guide – 11/12 May 2018

Rugby Union – Round 13

Sunwolves vs Reds

12 May, 1:15pm
Odds: Sunwolves $3.05, Reds $1.38
The QLD Reds head to Japan fresh from the bye and an unexpected win in their last match. They started quickly against the Lions at Suncorp and successfully held on for a vital win. Their record stands at 4-5 and they’ll be expected to win this clash against the lowly Sunwolves. Their yet to win in 2018 with a 0-9 record. They own the worst defence in Super Rugby with 41.1 points allowed per match. But they have been given $3 odds to beat the Reds. Mainly because of home field advantage and the Reds don’t really smash teams. They’re ranked below the Sunwolves for points scored this season. I do think they’ll win, in the 1-12 margin range. They beat them 35-25 in the last matchup a few seasons ago and it should be a similar result in 2018.
Best bet: Reds 1-12 $2.80

Crusaders vs Waratahs

12 May, 3:15pm
Odds: Crusaders $1.07, Waratahs $8.50
The Waratahs face a very tough test against the red-hot Crusaders. The home side smashed the Rebels last week on their way to a 6th straight victory. They’re ranked number 3 in Super Rugby for points scored and own the best defence in the league. They’ve also beaten the Waratahs by 13+ in the last 2 meetings, in NZ the last matchup was a 29-10 win. The NSW side is coming off a poor loss against the Blues at home last week, 24-21. Their defence will be the concern against the Crusaders as they’re allowing 25 points per match. They’ve also lost the last 4 matches in NZ against them since 2010. So in the value in the betting is to get on the first half line. They’ve cruised to halftime in the last 2 meetings against them, so it offers value at $1.87.
Best bet: Crusaders First Half -9.5

Brumbies vs Rebels

12 May, 7:45pm
Odds: Brumbies $1.50, Rebels $2.60
The 3-6 Brumbies take on the 4-6 Rebels in an important Australian conference matchup. Both sides are looking pretty average at the moment so it should be a close contest. For the home side, they’ve lost 3 straight matches and have a 2-3 record at home. They have scored just 20.3 points per match. Whereas the Rebels are scoring 26.7. But the Brumbies are the better defensive team as they allow 25 points per match, compared to the Rebels 30.3. The Melbourne side did beat them 33-10 this season but the Brumbies won the last matchup in Canberra 32-3. The Rebels have a few injury concerns and their defence isn’t trustworthy at the moment. As they showed in their last result when the Crusaders cruised to a 55-10 win. So the HT/FT double offers the best value as I can’t see the Rebels getting to the lead. They’re also fresh from the bye, which gives them an advantage over the Rebels.
Best bet: Brumbies HT/FT $2.05

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bet-now-william-hill Weekend Sports Betting Guide – 11/12 May 2018

Soccer – EPL

West Ham vs Man United

11 May, 4:45am
Odds: West Ham $4.50, Man United $1.80
West Ham faces Man United at home on Friday morning in a tough challenge before the EPL season ends. West Ham sits 15th on the table with a 9-11-16 record. They’re 6-5-6 at home, which is an average record. Their last match was a 2-0 win over Leicester City and it confirmed their place in the EPL for another season. In the head to head, Man United has won by an aggregate of 6-0 in the last 2 meetings. The last matchup was in August last year and Man United won 4-0. They are coming off a fairly disappointing loss to Brighton, but they still sit 2nd on the table. In away matches this season, they have a 10-3-5 record. They’re also 21-4-4 as the favourite in the betting. In the end though, the over total goals is mainly the safe bet. West Ham is 21-15 against the over this season and 7-6 when they’re the underdog at home. They also have a 17-7 record against the over after a win and they’re the underdog in the betting. Get on the overs!
Best bet: Over 2.5 goals $1.72

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bet-now-william-hill Weekend Sports Betting Guide – 11/12 May 2018

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