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AFL – Round 5 2018 Preview, Best Bets, and Promotions

afl-previews-header AFL – Round 5 2018 Preview, Best Bets, and Promotions

Preview of AFL Round 5 with Best Bets for every game

The following AFL Round 5 Preview will provide an overview of each game and our best betting predictions.


Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows

April 20, 2018 7:50 pm @ SCG
Odds: Swans $1.42, Crows $2.85

Betting preview of the Swans versus the Crows at the SCG on Friday.

Swans Form:

The Swans survived in Round 4 as they survived against the Bulldogs 86-79. Sydney kicked straight in-front of goals and Buddy was unstoppable. The Swans have kicked off the season with a decent 3-1 record. They have beaten sides by an average of 23 points in 2018. In attack, they’re scoring 93 points per match. The key will be in the backline where they only allow 86 points per match.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 7 – Swans 13.8.86, Bulldogs 11.13.79 – Round 4, 2018
WON by 16 – Swans 16.7.103, Giants 12.15.87 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 23 – Swans 10.11.71, Power 14.10.94 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 29 – Swans 18.7.115, Eagles 13.8.86 – Round 1, 2018

Crows Form:

In Round 4, the Crows lost against the Magpies at the Adelaide Oval. They couldn’t stop the Pies up forward and Walker/Sloane were quiet. The Crows have started the season with a disappointing 2-2 record. They have been defeated by an average of 30 points in 2018 and sit [] on the ladder. But in attack, they’re scoring 91 points per match. So they should be confident of keeping up with the Swans.

Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 48 – Crows 9.4.58, Magpies 16.10.106 – Round 4, 2018
WON by 49 – Crows 15.14.104, Saints 7.13.55 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 36 – Crows 18.10.118, Tigers 12.10.82 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 12 – Crows 12.15.87, Bombers 14.15.99 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Swans: 7-3
Last 2 Meetings:

Swans won by 3 points – Round 22, 2017 – Swans 13.5.83 d Crows 11.14.80 (163 total points)
Swans won by 36 points – Semi Final, 2016 – Swans 18.10.118 d Crows 12.10.82 (200 total points)

Prediction:

Sydney beat the Giants at home recently so they should have the Crows covered after they lost to the Pies at home.
Swans 1-39 $2.15

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St Kilda Saints vs GWS Giants

April 21, 2018 1:45 pm @ Etihad Stadium
Odds: Saints $3.85, Giants $1.26

Betting preview of the Saints versus the Giants at Etihad Stadium on Saturday.

Saints Form:

For the Saints, they were well beaten against the Cats last round at Kardinia Park. It was the same old story for St Kilda as they kicked just 7 goals for the game. The Saints will be looking to bounce back after a 1-3 start to the season. They have been defeated by an average of 49 points so far. While in attack, they’re scoring just 65 points per match. So they really need to improve defensively as they’ve allowed 96 points this season.
Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 47 – Saints 7.14.56, Cats 15.13.103 – Round 4, 2018
LOST by 49 – Saints 7.13.55, Crows 15.14.104 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 52 – Saints 5.13.43, Kangaroos 13.17.95 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 25 – Saints 16.11.107, Lions 12.10.82 – Round 1, 2018

Giants Form:

The Giants won in Round 4 as they beat the Dockers 51-82. GWS dominated the third quarter and that setup the win. The Giants have kicked off the season with a decent 3-1 record. They have beaten sides by an average of 16 points in 2018. In the forward line they’re scoring 99 points per match. The Giants have been one of the best sides in defence as they’ve allowed just 71 points this season.
Last 5 Matches:
WON by 31 – Giants 11.16.82, Dockers 7.9.51 – Round 4, 2018
LOST by 16 – Giants 12.15.87, Swans 16.7.103 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 16 – Giants 15.5.95, Magpies 12.7.79 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 81 – Giants 20.12.132, Bulldogs 7.9.51 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Saints: 4-3
Last 2 Meetings:

Saints won by 23 points – Round 7, 2017 – Saints 16.12.108 d Giants 12.13.85 (193 total points)
Giants won by 47 points – Round 5, 2016 – Giants 19.12.126 d Saints 12.7.79 (205 total points)

Prediction:

The Giants midfield is going to have a field day and I’m backing them by 5+ goals.
Giants -24.5 $1.91

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Carlton Blues vs West Coast Eagles

April 21, 2018 4:35 pm @ MCG
Odds: Blues $4.05, Eagles $1.24

Betting preview of the Blues versus the Eagles at the MCG on Saturday.

Blues Form:

In Round 4, the Blues weren’t impressive against the Kangaroos at Blundstone Arena. Murphy was a late out and the team basically didn’t show up. The Blues will be looking to bounce back after a 0-4 start to the season. They have been defeated by an average of 42 points so far. While in attack, they’re scoring just 67 points per match. So they really need to improve defensively as they’ve allowed 109 points this season.
Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 86 – Blues 4.6.30, Kangaroos 18.8.116 – Round 4, 2018
LOST by 24 – Blues 11.10.76, Magpies 16.4.100 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 34 – Blues 9.13.67, Suns 15.11.101 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 26 – Blues 15.5.95, Tigers 17.19.121 – Round 1, 2018

Eagles Form:

In Round 4, the Eagles were very impressive against the Suns at Optus Stadium. The return of Josh Kennedy meant the Eagles dominated the Suns defence. The Eagles have started the season with a respectable 3-1 record. They have beaten sides by an average of 29 points in 2018. In attack, they’re scoring 110 points per match. In the backline, they’ve allowed just 81 points this season.
Last 5 Matches:
WON by 80 – Eagles 21.13.139, Suns 9.5.59 – Round 4, 2018
WON by 15 – Eagles 14.11.95, Cats 11.14.80 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 51 – Eagles 18.13.121, Bulldogs 9.16.70 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 29 – Eagles 13.8.86, Swans 18.7.115 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Eagles: 6-4
Last 2 Meetings:

Eagles won by 17 points – Round 21, 2017 – Eagles 15.10.100 d Blues 12.11.83 (183 total points)
Eagles won by 7 points – Round 17, 2016 – Eagles 12.10.82 d Blues 11.9.75 (157 total points)

Prediction:

Carlton were terrible last week and will struggle to contain the Eagles forward line.
Eagles -26.5 $1.91

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Port Adelaide Power vs Geelong Cats

April 21, 2018 7:40 pm @ Adelaide Oval
Odds: Power $1.53, Cats $2.50

Betting preview of the Power versus the Cats at Adelaide Oval on Saturday.

Power Form:

In Round 4, the Power were well beaten against the Bombers at Etihad Stadium. Port staged a mini comeback in the latter stages but couldn’t convert. The Power have kicked off the season with a decent 3-1 record. They have won by an average of 22 points in 2018. In attack, they’re scoring 96 points per match. The key will be in the backline where they only allow 82 points per match.
Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 22 – Power 12.12.84, Bombers 16.10.106 – Round 4, 2018
WON by 5 – Power 14.13.97, Lions 14.8.92 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 23 – Power 14.10.94, Swans 10.11.71 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 50 – Power 16.14.110, Dockers 9.6.60 – Round 1, 2018

Cats Form:

The Cats won in Round 4 after a comfortable victory against the Saints at Kardinia Park. Despite injuries to Ablett and co, the Cats smashed the Saints once again. The Cats start to the season hasn’t been overly impressive as they hold a 2-2 record. But, they’ve only lost by an average of 8 points in 2018. While in attack, they’re scoring 99 points per match. They really need to improve defensively as they’ve allowed 90 points this season.
Last 5 Matches:
WON by 47 – Cats 15.13.103, Saints 7.14.56 – Round 4, 2018
LOST by 15 – Cats 11.14.80, Eagles 14.11.95 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 1 – Cats 18.9.117, Hawks 17.16.118 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 3 – Cats 14.13.97, Demons 13.16.94 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Cats: 9-1
Last 2 Meetings:

Cats won by 2 points – Round 10, 2017 – Cats 11.15.81 d Power 11.13.79 (160 total points)
Cats won by 48 points – Round 5, 2016 – Cats 16.11.107 d Power 8.11.59 (166 total points)

Prediction:

Geelong has dominated the Power recently so I’m going to back them at the line.
Cats +10.5 $1.91

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Fremantle Dockers vs Western Bulldogs

April 21, 2018 8:10 pm @ Optus Stadium
Odds: Dockers $1.60, Bulldogs $2.30

Betting preview of the Dockers versus the Bulldogs at Optus Stadium on Saturday.

Dockers Form:

For the Dockers, they were well beaten against the Giants last round at UNSW Canberra Oval. Fremantle were really outclassed by the Giants in the end. The Dockers start to the season hasn’t been overly impressive as they hold a 2-2 record. They have lost by an average of 40 points in 2018. While in attack, they’re scoring just 78 points per match.

Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 31 – Dockers 7.9.51, Giants 11.16.82 – Round 4, 2018
WON by 28 – Dockers 13.18.96, Suns 10.8.68 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 16 – Dockers 16.10.106, Bombers 14.6.90 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 50 – Dockers 9.6.60, Power 16.14.110 – Round 1, 2018

Bulldogs Form:

In Round 4, the Bulldogs only just lost against the Swans at Etihad Stadium. They’ll rue their chances in this game as they had more scoring shots. The Bulldogs will be looking to bounce back after a 1-3 start to the season. They have lost by an average of 46 points so far. While in the forward line, they’re scoring just 76 points per match. So they really need to improve defensively as they’ve allowed 105 points this season.

Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 7 – Bulldogs 11.13.79, Swans 13.8.86 – Round 4, 2018
WON by 21 – Bulldogs 14.20.104, Bombers 12.11.83 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 51 – Bulldogs 9.16.70, Eagles 18.13.121 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 81 – Bulldogs 7.9.51, Giants 20.12.132 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Dockers: 7-3
Last 2 Meetings:

Dockers won by 16 points – Round 3, 2017 – Dockers 13.11.89 d Bulldogs 10.13.73 (162 total points)
Dockers won by 20 points – Round 23, 2016 – Dockers 10.9.69 d Bulldogs 6.13.49 (118 total points)

Prediction:

This should be one of the closest games of the week as both sides struggle to convert in front of goal. So I’m going to stick with the home side by 1-39
Dockers 1-39 $2.15

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North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Hawthorn Hawks

April 22, 2018 3:20 pm @ Etihad Stadium
Odds: Kangaroos $2.75, Hawks $1.45

Betting preview of the Kangaroos versus the Hawks at Etihad Stadium on Sunday.

Kangaroos Form:

The Kangaroos were very impressive in Round 4 as they smashed the Blues 116-30. North love playing in Tassie and they dominated the young Blues. The Kangaroos start to the season hasn’t been overly impressive as they hold a 2-2 record. They have been defeated by an average of 26 points in 2018. However, in the forward line they’re scoring 84 points per match.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 86 – Kangaroos 18.8.116, Blues 4.6.30 – Round 4, 2018
LOST by 37 – Kangaroos 13.8.86, Demons 18.15.123 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 52 – Kangaroos 13.17.95, Saints 5.13.43 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 16 – Kangaroos 5.9.39, Suns 7.13.55 – Round 1, 2018

Hawks Form:

The Hawks were impressive in Round 4 as they trashed the Demons at the MCG. Hawthorn dominated after the first quarter but injuries to Rioli and Puopolo soured the win. The Hawks have started the season with a respectable 3-1 record. They have beaten sides by an average of 13 points in 2018. In attack, they’re scoring 105 points per match. The key will be in the backline where they only allow 83 points per match.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 67 – Hawks 18.7.115, Demons 6.12.48 – Round 4, 2018
LOST by 13 – Hawks 13.11.89, Tigers 15.12.102 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 1 – Hawks 17.16.118, Cats 18.9.117 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 34 – Hawks 15.11.101, Magpies 9.13.67 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Hawks: 8-2
Last 2 Meetings:

Hawks won by 27 points – Round 21, 2017 – Hawks 18.8.116 d Kangaroos 14.5.89 (205 total points)
Hawks won by 39 points – Round 21, 2016 – Hawks 14.12.96 d Kangaroos 8.9.57 (153 total points)

Prediction:

The Hawks matchup well with the Kangaroos and they’re coming off a dominant win over the Demons.
Hawks -14.5 $1.91

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Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns

April 22, 2018 4:40 pm @ Gabba
Odds: Lions $1.70, Suns $2.15

Betting preview of the Lions versus the Suns at Gabba on Sunday.

Lions Form:

For the Lions, they looked poor against the Tigers last round at the MCG. Brisbane couldn’t get past the Tigers strong defence in the end. The Lions will be looking to bounce back after a 0-4 start to the season. They have been defeated by an average of 37 points so far. While in the forward line, they’re scoring just 66 points per match. So they really need to improve defensively as they’ve allowed 103 points this season.

Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 93 – Lions 2.5.17, Tigers 16.14.110 – Round 4, 2018
LOST by 5 – Lions 14.8.92, Power 14.13.97 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 26 – Lions 10.14.74, Demons 14.16.100 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 25 – Lions 12.10.82, Saints 16.11.107 – Round 1, 2018

Suns Form:

The Suns were no match against the Eagles last round at Optus Stadium. The loss will hurt even more if Tom Lynch is out for a few weeks. The Suns start to the season hasn’t been overly impressive as they hold a 2-2 record. They have been thrashed by an average of 54 points in 2018.

Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 80 – Suns 9.5.59, Eagles 21.13.139 – Round 4, 2018
LOST by 28 – Suns 10.8.68, Dockers 13.18.96 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 34 – Suns 15.11.101, Blues 9.13.67 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 16 – Suns 7.13.55, Kangaroos 5.9.39 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Lions: 9-5
Last 2 Meetings:

Lions won by 58 points – Round 21, 2017 – Lions 22.10.142 d Suns 12.12.84 (226 total points)
Lions won by 2 points – Round 1, 2017 – Lions 15.8.98 d Suns 14.12.96 (194 total points)

Prediction:

Both sides were really poor last week but the Q-Clash is usually close. So I’m predicting a few lead changes.
Wire to Wire – Any Other Result $1.99

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Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers

April 24, 2018 7:25 pm @ MCG
Odds: Demons $2.70, Tigers $1.47

Betting preview of the Demons versus the Tigers at the MCG on Tuesday.

Demons Form:

For the Demons, they looked poor against the Hawks last round at the MCG. Melbourne looked lost after the 1st quarter and couldn’t convert their chances in-front of goals. The Demons have started the season with a disappointing 2-2 record. They have lost by an average of 35 points in 2018 and sit [] on the ladder. However, in the forward line they’re scoring 91 points per match. So they really need to improve defensively as they’ve allowed 93 points this season.

Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 67 – Demons 6.12.48, Hawks 18.7.115 – Round 4, 2018
WON by 37 – Demons 18.15.123, Kangaroos 13.8.86 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 26 – Demons 14.16.100, Lions 10.14.74 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 3 – Demons 13.16.94, Cats 14.13.97 – Round 1, 2018

Tigers Form:

In Round 4, the Tigers were very impressive against the Lions at the MCG. Richmond smashed the Lions in the midfield and Dusty kicked 6 goals. The Tigers have kicked off the season with a decent 3-1 record. They have beaten sides by an average of 36 points in 2018. In the forward line they’re scoring 103 points per match. The Tigers have been one of the best sides in defence as they’ve allowed just 79 points this season.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 93 – Tigers 16.14.110, Lions 2.5.17 – Round 4, 2018
WON by 13 – Tigers 15.12.102, Hawks 13.11.89 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 36 – Tigers 12.10.82, Crows 18.10.118 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 26 – Tigers 17.19.121, Blues 15.5.95 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Demons: 6-5
Last 2 Meetings:

Tigers won by 13 points – Round 5, 2017 – Tigers 12.16.88 d Demons 11.9.75 (163 total points)
Demons won by 33 points – Round 5, 2016 – Demons 20.9.129 d Tigers 14.12.96 (225 total points)

Prediction:

The Demons were really poor last week and the Tigers are just looking better for this matchup. It probably won’t be a blowout, so take the Tigers 1-39 for value.
Tigers 1-39 $2.20

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Collingwood Magpies vs Essendon Bombers

April 25, 2018 3:20 pm @ MCG
Odds: Magpies $1.81, Bombers $2.00

Betting preview of the Magpies versus the Bombers at the MCG on Wednesday.

Magpies Form:

The Magpies were victorious in Round 4 after a comfortable victory against the Crows 106-58. Collingwood dominated the all aspects and Stephenson had a day out with 5 goals. The Magpies start to the season hasn’t been overly impressive as they hold a 2-2 record. They have been defeated by an average of 25 points in 2018. However, in the forward line they’re scoring 88 points per match.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 48 – Magpies 16.10.106, Crows 9.4.58 – Round 4, 2018
WON by 24 – Magpies 16.4.100, Blues 11.10.76 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 16 – Magpies 12.7.79, Giants 15.5.95 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 34 – Magpies 9.13.67, Hawks 15.11.101 – Round 1, 2018

Bombers Form:

The Bombers won in Round 4 as they beat the Power 84-106. Jake Stringer kicked crucial goals and Zach Merrett returned to form in the midfield. The Bombers start to the season hasn’t been overly impressive as they hold a 2-2 record. They have lost by an average of 18 points in 2018. But in attack, they’re scoring 94 points per match. So they should be confident of keeping up with the Magpies. So they really need to improve defensively as they’ve allowed 95 points this season.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 22 – Bombers 16.10.106, Power 12.12.84 – Round 4, 2018
LOST by 21 – Bombers 12.11.83, Bulldogs 14.20.104 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 16 – Bombers 14.6.90, Dockers 16.10.106 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 12 – Bombers 14.15.99, Crows 12.15.87 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Magpies: 10-5
Last 2 Meetings:

Bombers won by 37 points – Round 16, 2017 – Bombers 18.9.117 d Magpies 12.8.80 (197 total points)
Bombers won by 18 points – Round 5, 2017 – Bombers 15.10.100 d Magpies 11.16.82 (182 total points)

Prediction:

Both sides are coming off upsets so this should be a close but high scoring match. So I’m backing the over total as each team averages over 88 points per match.
Over 180.5 points $1.88

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