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AFL – Round 4 2018 Preview, Best Bets, and Promotions

afl-previews-header AFL – Round 4 2018 Preview, Best Bets, and Promotions

Preview of AFL Round 4 with Best Bets for every game

The following AFL Round 4 Preview will provide an overview of each game and our best betting predictions.


Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies

April 13, 2018 7:50 pm @ Adelaide Oval
Odds: Crows $1.15, Magpies $5.50

Betting preview of the Crows versus the Magpies at Adelaide Oval on Friday.

Crows Form:

The Crows were victorious in Round 3 after a comfortable victory against the Saints 104-55. Bryce Gibbs led the way for the Crows and they won by 40+ against the Saints once again. They’ll now head to the Adelaide Oval and they’ll be looking for another victory against the Magpies.
Last 5 Matches:
WON by 49 – Crows 15.14.104, Saints 7.13.55 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 36 – Crows 18.10.118, Tigers 12.10.82 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 12 – Crows 12.15.87, Bombers 14.15.99 – Round 1, 2018

Magpies Form:

The Magpies were victorious in Round 3 as they beat the Blues 76-100. Collingwood ran over the Blues defence and got goals from unlikely sources (Josh Thomas 5). Steele Sidebottom also dominated with a best on ground performance.. They now head to the Adelaide Oval and it will be a crucial clash against the Crows.
Last 5 Matches:
WON by 24 – Magpies 16.4.100, Blues 11.10.76 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 16 – Magpies 12.7.79, Giants 15.5.95 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 34 – Magpies 9.13.67, Hawks 15.11.101 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Tied: 4-4
Last 2 Meetings:

DREW – Round 19, 2017 – 15.13.103 d 16.7.103 (206 total points)
Crows won by 28 points – Round 17, 2016 – Crows 14.13.97 d Magpies 10.9.69 (166 total points)

Prediction:

Adelaide look too strong for the Magpies in the midfield and up forward. However, Collingwood should be able to keep this under 39 points as they played well last week.
Crows 1-39 $2.15

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GWS Giants vs Fremantle Dockers

April 14, 2018 1:45 pm @ UNSW Canberra Oval
Odds: Giants $1.15, Dockers $5.50

Betting preview of the Giants versus the Dockers at UNSW Canberra Oval on Saturday.

Giants Form:

In Round 3, the Giants lost against the Swans at the SCG. The Giants will rue their chances in this match as they had more scoring shots. So in Round 4, they’ll be looking to rebound against the Dockers.
Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 16 – Giants 12.15.87, Swans 16.7.103 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 16 – Giants 15.5.95, Magpies 12.7.79 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 81 – Giants 20.12.132, Bulldogs 7.9.51 – Round 1, 2018

Dockers Form:

The Dockers won in Round 3 as they comfortably beat the Suns at Optus Stadium. After two straight wins at the new stadium, the Dockers are looking on the improvement, mainly thanks to Nat Fyfe. He dominated the midfield with a best on ground showing. They’ll now head to UNSW Canberra Oval and it will be a crucial clash against the Giants.
Last 5 Matches:
WON by 28 – Dockers 13.18.96, Suns 10.8.68 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 16 – Dockers 16.10.106, Bombers 14.6.90 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 50 – Dockers 9.6.60, Power 16.14.110 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Dockers: 4-3
Last 2 Meetings:

Giants won by 12 points – Round 19, 2017 – Giants 13.20.98 d Dockers 13.8.86 (184 total points)
Giants won by 92 points – Round 22, 2016 – Giants 19.15.129 d Dockers 5.7.37 (166 total points)

Prediction:

This is a tough trip for the Dockers who have enjoyed home ground advantage in their 2 wins. The Giants have a better midfield and should dominate the clearances on their way to a 1-39 win.
Giants 1-39 $2.25

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Richmond Tigers vs Brisbane Lions

April 14, 2018 2:10 pm @ MCG
Odds: Tigers $1.08, Lions $8.00

Betting preview of the Tigers versus the Lions at the MCG on Saturday.

Tigers Form:

The Tigers won in Round 3 after a comfortable victory against the Hawks 102-89. Richmond almost collapsed in the last quarter but held strong to record the win. So in Round 4, they’ll look for a 3-1 record on the season when they take on the Lions. They’re 11-0 against them so they’ll be confident.
Last 5 Matches:
WON by 13 – Tigers 15.12.102, Hawks 13.11.89 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 36 – Tigers 12.10.82, Crows 18.10.118 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 26 – Tigers 17.19.121, Blues 15.5.95 – Round 1, 2018

Lions Form:

The Lions only just lost against the Power last round at the Adelaide Oval. Credit goes to the Lions after missing their skipper and almost causing a massive upset. So in Round 4, they’ll be looking to rebound against the Tigers.
Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 5 – Lions 14.8.92, Power 14.13.97 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 26 – Lions 10.14.74, Demons 14.16.100 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 25 – Lions 12.10.82, Saints 16.11.107 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Tigers: 11-0
Last 2 Meetings:

Tigers won by 31 points – Round 17, 2017 – Tigers 16.16.112 d Lions 12.9.81 (193 total points)
Tigers won by 52 points – Round 4, 2017 – Tigers 17.17.119 d Lions 10.7.67 (186 total points)

Prediction:

Brisbane have been great against the line this season and they’ll take huge confidence from a close loss against the Power. The Tigers weren’t overly impressive against the Hawks.
Lions +42.5 $1.90

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Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Swans

April 14, 2018 4:35 pm @ Etihad Stadium
Odds: Bulldogs $, Swans $

Betting preview of the Bulldogs versus the Swans at Etihad Stadium on Saturday.

Bulldogs Form:

The Bulldogs won in Round 3 as they comfortably beat the Bombers 104-83. They looked like a different side as they dominated the midfield. They now head back to Etihad Stadium and take on the in-form Swans. The key will be keeping the ball away from Buddy and their midfield.
Last 5 Matches:
WON by 21 – Bulldogs 14.20.104, Bombers 12.11.83 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 51 – Bulldogs 9.16.70, Eagles 18.13.121 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 81 – Bulldogs 7.9.51, Giants 20.12.132 – Round 1, 2018

Swans Form:

The Swans were victorious in Round 3 as they comfortably beat the Giants at the SCG. Sydney was challenged by the Giants but Buddy came alive in the 4th quarter and sealed the victory. After last round’s victory, they’ll be looking for another win at Etihad Stadium.
Last 5 Matches:
WON by 16 – Swans 16.7.103, Giants 12.15.87 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 23 – Swans 10.11.71, Power 14.10.94 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 29 – Swans 18.7.115, Eagles 13.8.86 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Swans: 8-6
Last 2 Meetings:

Swans won by 46 points – Round 12, 2017 – Swans 12.16.88 d Bulldogs 6.6.42 (130 total points)
Bulldogs won by 23 points – Round 2, 2017 – Bulldogs 16.14.110 d Swans 13.9.87 (197 total points)

Prediction:

Despite their win last week, the Bombers aren’t a great side so it kind of flattered the Bulldogs. The Swans are coming off a great win over the Giants and do enjoy playing at Etihad.
Swans 1-39 $2.05

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North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Carlton Blues

April 14, 2018 7:25 pm @ Blundstone Arena
Odds: Kangaroos $1.57, Blues $2.40

Betting preview of the Kangaroos versus the Blues at Blundstone Arena on Saturday.

Kangaroos Form:

In Round 3, the Kangaroos were well beaten against the Demons at the MCG. North couldn’t match the Demons midfield and couldn’t get the ball into the forward line enough. So in Round 4, they’ll be looking to rebound against the Blues.
Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 37 – Kangaroos 13.8.86, Demons 18.15.123 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 52 – Kangaroos 13.17.95, Saints 5.13.43 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 16 – Kangaroos 5.9.39, Suns 7.13.55 – Round 1, 2018

Blues Form:

Last round, the Blues were well beaten against the Magpies at the MCG. The Blues started well again but the defence was outclassed in the middle stages. After a winless start to the season, they’ll be desperate for a win over the Kangaroos.
Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 24 – Blues 11.10.76, Magpies 16.4.100 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 34 – Blues 9.13.67, Suns 15.11.101 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 26 – Blues 15.5.95, Tigers 17.19.121 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Kangaroos: 5-3
Last 2 Meetings:

Kangaroos won by 17 points – Round 10, 2017 – Kangaroos 17.11.113 d Blues 15.6.96 (209 total points)
Kangaroos won by 67 points – Round 9, 2016 – Kangaroos 17.11.113 d Blues 6.10.46 (159 total points)

Prediction:

These two sides struggle up forward so the under total is a good chance. It’s also at night in Hobart which means cold conditions and hard for scoring.
Under 179.5 points $1.88

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West Coast Eagles vs Gold Coast Suns

April 14, 2018 8:10 pm @ Optus Stadium
Odds: Eagles $1.14, Suns $5.60

Betting preview of the Eagles versus the Suns at Optus Stadium on Saturday.

Eagles Form:

In Round 3, the Eagles won against the Cats at Optus Stadium. West Coast finished the stronger side as they ran over the injury riddled Cats. So in Round 4, it will be a crucial clash against the Suns.
Last 5 Matches:
WON by 15 – Eagles 14.11.95, Cats 11.14.80 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 51 – Eagles 18.13.121, Bulldogs 9.16.70 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 29 – Eagles 13.8.86, Swans 18.7.115 – Round 1, 2018

Suns Form:

In Round 3, the Suns lost against the Dockers at Optus Stadium. They were in the match until the later stages, Tom Lynch just couldn’t shake his defender all day. They’ll look to rebound against the Eagles.
Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 28 – Suns 10.8.68, Dockers 13.18.96 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 34 – Suns 15.11.101, Blues 9.13.67 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 16 – Suns 7.13.55, Kangaroos 5.9.39 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Eagles: 7-1
Last 2 Meetings:

Suns won by 3 points – Round 11, 2017 – Suns 11.14.80 d Eagles 11.11.77 (157 total points)
Eagles won by 77 points – Round 10, 2016 – Eagles 20.12.132 d Suns 7.13.55 (187 total points)

Prediction:

The Eagles aren’t playing consistent 4 quarters yet so it’s hard to see them smashing the Suns. Gold Coast are playing a back to back at Optus Stadium and won’t be travelling across the country twice. So that should help them cover the line
Suns +34.5 $1.90

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Essendon Bombers vs Port Adelaide Power

April 15, 2018 1:10 pm @ Etihad Stadium
Odds: Bombers $2.20, Power $1.67

Betting preview of the Bombers versus the Power at Etihad Stadium on Sunday.

Bombers Form:

For the Bombers, they were well beaten against the Bulldogs last round at Etihad Stadium. The Bombers couldn’t get in the match and made a lot of silly errors. So in Round 4, they’ll be looking to rebound against the Power.
Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 21 – Bombers 12.11.83, Bulldogs 14.20.104 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 16 – Bombers 14.6.90, Dockers 16.10.106 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 12 – Bombers 14.15.99, Crows 12.15.87 – Round 1, 2018

Power Form:

In Round 3, the Power just won against the Lions at the Adelaide Oval. Port missed Ryder in the ruck this week as Stef Martin dominated. So in Round 4, it will be a crucial clash against the Bombers.
Last 5 Matches:
WON by 5 – Power 14.13.97, Lions 14.8.92 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 23 – Power 14.10.94, Swans 10.11.71 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 50 – Power 16.14.110, Dockers 9.6.60 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Bombers: 6-3
Last 2 Meetings:

Bombers won by 70 points – Round 12, 2017 – Bombers 19.17.131 d Power 8.13.61 (192 total points)
Power won by 61 points – Round 3, 2016 – Power 17.10.112 d Bombers 7.9.51 (163 total points)

Prediction:

Essendon has looked awful after beating the Crows in Round 1 and they made an average Bulldogs side look great last week. So the Power should dominate this matchup.
Power -6.5 $1.90

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Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons

April 15, 2018 3:20 pm @ MCG
Odds: Hawks $2.10, Demons $1.72

Betting preview of the Hawks versus the Demons at the MCG on Sunday.

Hawks Form:

For the Hawks, they lost against the Tigers last round at the MCG. Hawthorn did look flat after Easter Monday but they showed encouraging signs in a 4th quarter comeback. They’ll be back at the MCG and they’ll be looking to rebound against the Demons.
Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 13 – Hawks 13.11.89, Tigers 15.12.102 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 1 – Hawks 17.16.118, Cats 18.9.117 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 34 – Hawks 15.11.101, Magpies 9.13.67 – Round 1, 2018

Demons Form:

The Demons were victorious in Round 3 as they beat the Kangaroos 123-86. The Demons finally broke their Kangaroos losing curse and dominated the midfield. So they’ll be looking for a 3-1 start to the season.
Last 5 Matches:
WON by 37 – Demons 18.15.123, Kangaroos 13.8.86 – Round 3, 2018
WON by 26 – Demons 14.16.100, Lions 10.14.74 – Round 2, 2018
LOST by 3 – Demons 13.16.94, Cats 14.13.97 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Hawks: 10-1
Last 2 Meetings:

Hawks won by 3 points – Round 7, 2017 – Hawks 14.10.94 d Demons 14.7.91 (185 total points)
Demons won by 29 points – Round 20, 2016 – Demons 17.8.110 d Hawks 11.15.81 (191 total points)

Prediction:

The Demons probably can’t stop Tom Mitchell but Max Gawn will have a big say in this match. Melbourne is just looking the better side at the moment so we’ll take them to beat the line.
Demons -5.5 $1.90

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Geelong Cats vs St Kilda Saints

April 15, 2018 4:40 pm @ Kardinia Park
Odds: Cats $1.25, Saints $3.90

Betting preview of the Cats versus the Saints at Kardinia Park on Sunday.

Cats Form:

Last round, the Cats lost against the Eagles at Optus Stadium. Geelong staged a comeback after half-time but in the end, they were down to just 1 player on the bench. After last round’s defeat, they’ll be looking to rebound at Kardinia Park.
Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 15 – Cats 11.14.80, Eagles 14.11.95 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 1 – Cats 18.9.117, Hawks 17.16.118 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 3 – Cats 14.13.97, Demons 13.16.94 – Round 1, 2018

Saints Form:

In Round 3, the Saints were well beaten against the Crows at Etihad Stadium. The Saints were outclassed by the Crows in the end and they’ll need to improve their kicking skills in coming weeks. They’ll now head to Kardinia Park and they’ll look to rebound against the Cats.
Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 49 – Saints 7.13.55, Crows 15.14.104 – Round 3, 2018
LOST by 52 – Saints 5.13.43, Kangaroos 13.17.95 – Round 2, 2018
WON by 25 – Saints 16.11.107, Lions 12.10.82 – Round 1, 2018

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Cats: 6-3
Last 2 Meetings:

Cats won by 38 points – Round 5, 2017 – Cats 19.12.126 d Saints 13.10.88 (214 total points)
Saints won by 3 points – Round 14, 2016 – Saints 14.9.93 d Cats 13.12.90 (183 total points)

Prediction:

The Cats are playing their first match at Kardinia Park this season but injuries are starting to mount. They also lack defensive options. The Saints aren’t a bad side, they just struggle to convert inside 50s into goals. So they should be able to cover the line here.
Saints +27.5 $1.90

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