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NRL – Grand Final 2017 Preview, Best Bets, and Promotions

nrl-previews-header NRL – Grand Final 2017 Preview, Best Bets, and Promotions

Preview of NRL Grand final with Best Bets for every game

The following NRL Grand final Preview will provide an overview of each game and our best betting predictions.

Melbourne Storm vs North Queensland Cowboys

October 1, 2017 @ ANZ Stadium
Odds: Storm $1.27, Cowboys $3.90

Betting preview of the Storm versus the Cowboys at ANZ Stadium on Sunday.

Storm Form:

The Melbourne Storm are into their second straight Grand Final and they’ll be looking to avenge last years loss. The Sharks beat them 14-12, but the Storm will have Billy Slater this year. He missed the 2016 version with injury and he’s coming off 2 tries in the 30-0 win over the Broncos. They have been the best team in the NRL all the season as they hold a 22-4 record. Amazingly two of those losses were without Origin players as well. They haven’t lost since Round 18 and they will start as the overwhelming favourite in the Grand Final. The Storm players will also have extra motivation with this being Cooper Cronk’s last match for the club.

The Storm recruited Josh Addo-Carr last season and he’s been a revelation on the wing for his new side. With Sulisasi Vunivalu on the other wing, they have a formidable attack. They also have one of the biggest forward packs in the NRL. With the likes of Jesse Bromwich, Nelson Asofa-Solomona and Jordan McLean, they will aim to dominate the middle of the field against the Cowboys. The Storm are led by Cameron Smith and he’ll lead his side again on Sunday night. In team news, the Storm are going in unchanged.
Last 5 Matches:
WON by 30 – Storm 30, Broncos 0 – Preliminary Final, 2017
WON by 2 – Storm 18, Eels 16 – Qualifying Final, 2017
WON by 26 – Storm 32, Raiders 6 – Round 26, 2017
WON by 58 – Storm 64, Rabbitohs 6 – Round 25, 2017
WON by 32 – Storm 44, Knights 12 – Round 24, 2017

Cowboys Form:

North Queensland’s fairytale season continued last week as they knocked off the Roosters by 13 points. They have won all three finals in Sydney and they’ll look for a 4-0 finish in this one. It’s amazing to think the Cowboys just scrapped into the finals. But full credit goes to the coaching staff, especially with their best player out in J. Thurston.

The key for the Cowboys will be aiming up in the middle of the field against the Storm forward pack. Jason Taumalolo is in career best form and they’ll be hoping Matt Scott can play this week (named in the reserves). In the halves, Michael Morgan has been outstanding in Thurston’s absence and he’ll need to out-play Cooper Cronk for the Cowboys to have a chance.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 13 – Cowboys 29, Roosters 16 – Preliminary Final, 2017
WON by 8 – Cowboys 24, Eels 16 – Semi Final, 2017
WON by 1 – Cowboys 15, Sharks 14 – Elimination Final, 2017
LOST by 10 – Cowboys 10, Broncos 20 – Round 26, 2017
WON by 8 – Cowboys 22, Tigers 14 – Round 25, 2017

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Storm: 10-5

The Storm have the wood over the Cowboys as they have won the last 5 meetings. But in two of those five wins, the margin has been just 1 point. They met in Round 22 this season and the Storm thrashed them 26-8 in North Queensland. They also met this season in Round 15 and the Storm won by a point (23-22). Overall, the Cowboys haven’t beaten them since the 2015 Preliminary Final (32-12) in Melbourne. Since 2010, the Storm lead 10-5.

Last 2 Meetings:

Storm won by 18 points – Round 22, 2017 – Storm 26 d Cowboys 8 (34 total points)
Storm won by 1 point – Round 15, 2017 – Storm 23 d Cowboys 22 (45 total points)

Big Win Little Win

Melbourne are ranked number in the NRL for points scored and points allowed. They showed their dominance against the Broncos in a 30-0 scoreline. But the Cowboys should pose a different challenge. They trashed the Roosters by 13 points and they beat the Eels by 8 points at this venue. So we would look at the 1-12 margin. The Storm have won four of the last five meetings by 1-12. The Cowboys lost by 18 in the last meeting, but they should improve in the Grand Final. But in the end, the Storm are tough to bet against and we would suggest backing the 1-12 for them on Sunday.
Best bet: Storm 1-12 ($2.75)

First Try Scorer:

Melbourne have scored first in 8 of their last 9 matches so we would back a Storm player in the first try scorer. Sulisasi Vunivalu is the early favourite for first try scorer and he’s scored 23 tries this season. But he did bomb a certain try last week and nerves could get the better of him. Josh Addo-Carr has been outstanding in his first season at the Storm and he scored the first try last week. He also scored the first try in the Eels victory so with 21 tries this season, he’s a great bet. But we can’t forget Billy Slater after his two try performance last week. He missed the Grand Final last year and will be desperate to get across the line for his side.

For the Cowboys, Kyle Feldt leads his side with 15 tries this season and he’s paying $15. Coen Hess is also a solid bet as he has 3 tries in his last 2 matches at ANZ. He scored 13 tries this season and could barge his way over in the early stages.

Josh Addo-Carr ($7.50)

Total Points – 36.0

Melbourne held the Broncos scoreless last week and they haven’t conceded over 20 points in their last 9 matches. So this Grand Final figures to be a low scoring game. The under is 6-1 in the Storm’s last 7 night matches as well. The under total is also 4-1 in the last 5 clashes between the two teams. In addition, the under is 2-0 in the Storm’s last 2 Grand Finals and it went under in the Cowboys 2015 Grand Final victory. So back the under total this year.

Under 36 points ($1.90)

Prediction:

The Cowboys have covered the line in their last 6 matches at ANZ and they’re 3-0 ATS in the finals. So the +10 line looks very juicy for them on Sunday. They can match the Storm in the forward pack and they’re in impressive form. So we can’t see them getting smashed. But in the end, the Storm are the best attacking and defensive side in the NRL and they’re hard to bet against. They have the big three of Smith, Cronk and Slater, which gives them a wealth of experience in big games. After a close loss in the Grand Final last year, we can’t see them losing two in a row. The best bet would be a 1-12 margin for the Storm.
Cowboys +10.0 ($1.92)


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