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AFL – Semi Finals 2017 Preview, Best Bets, and Promotions

afl-previews-header AFL – Semi Finals 2017 Preview, Best Bets, and Promotions

Preview of AFL Semi finals with Best Bets for every game

The following AFL Semi finals Preview will provide an overview of each game and our best betting predictions.


Geelong Cats vs Sydney Swans

September 15, 2017 @ MCG
Odds: Cats $3.20, Swans $1.36

Betting preview of the Cats versus the Swans at the MCG on Friday. The winner will travel to the Adelaide Oval for a clash against the top of the table Adelaide Crows.

Cats Form:

The Cats are coming off a bad loss against the Tigers and they’ll need to rebound against the Swans. However, they haven’t had much success against them recently. In the betting, they’re at long odds to win this as the home side. The forward line will need to find something against the Swans as they were held in check by the Tigers. Joel Selwood didn’t much influence and they dropped Daniel Menzel. The midfield was out-classed by the Tigers and they face another test against the Swans. But with Patrick Dangerfield, the Cats are still a strong chance of an upset.

Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 51 – Cats 5.10.40, Tigers 13.13.91 – Qualifying Final, 2017
WON by 44 – Cats 15.13.103, Giants 8.11.59 – Round 23, 2017
WON by 11 – Cats 10.10.70, Magpies 9.5.59 – Round 22, 2017
WON by 14 – Cats 11.14.80, Tigers 9.12.66 – Round 21, 2017
LOST by 46 – Cats 8.13.61, Swans 16.11.107 – Round 20, 2017

Swans Form:

Sydney continued their good form with a 10 goal win over the Bombers. They absolutely dominated the second quarter with 10 goals to 2 and the match was over at half-time. Buddy Franklin picked up a corky in the first quarter but he still kicked 4 goals and was rested in the last quarter. They now head to Melbourne for a semi final clash against the Cats at the MCG. The Swans haven’t lost since Round 19 and they’ve won their past 5 matches. Their midfield is firing at the right end of the season and Lance Franklin is hitting the scoreboard. They also look unstoppable in defence which is a real worry for the Cats.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 65 – Swans 19.7.121, Bombers 8.8.56 – Elimination Final, 2017
WON by 81 – Swans 21.12.138, Blues 8.9.57 – Round 23, 2017
WON by 3 – Swans 13.5.83, Crows 11.14.80 – Round 22, 2017
WON by 104 – Swans 22.11.143, Dockers 5.9.39 – Round 21, 2017
WON by 46 – Swans 16.11.107, Cats 8.13.61 – Round 20, 2017

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Tied: 7-7

The Swans have dominated the Cats in the head to head as they’ve won three in a row. In Round 20 this season, the Swans won 107-61 at Kardina Park. In last years final series, the Swans won again 97-60 at the MCG. Overall since 2014, the Swans are 5-1 against the Cats.

Last 2 Meetings:

Swans won by 46 points – Round 20, 2017 – Swans 16.11.107 d Cats 8.13.61 (168 total points)
Swans won by 37 points – Preliminary Final, 2016 – Swans 15.7.97 d Cats 8.12.60 (157 total points)

Big Win Little Win

The average margin in the last 7 years is around 40 points so these teams don’t play close matches together. The Swans have won the last three by 37 or more points. They won by 65 last week and the Cats lost by 51. But the Swans are 2-2 at the MCG this season and the 1-39 is more likely.
Best bet: Swans 1-39 ($2.00)

Prediction:

Sydney are playing as a top four side and they\’ll hold no fears at the MCG after smashing the Cats last year. Geelong\’s forward line is a real worry and their skipper seems to be playing hurt. Back the Swans at the line.
Swans -18.5 ($1.92)

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GWS Giants vs West Coast Eagles

September 16, 2017 @ Spotless Stadium
Odds: Giants $1.40, Eagles $3.00

Betting preview of the Giants versus the Eagles at Spotless Stadium on Saturday. Both sides will be looking to book a spot in the Preliminary Final against Richmond at the MCG next week.

Giants Form:

GWS will look to rebound after a 6 goal loss against the Crows in the first final. They have lost two in a row, but they’ve played the two top sides in the AFL. The Giants are 9-1 at home this season and they have already beaten the Eagles twice in 2017. They’ll likely bring back Steve Johnson as they’ve struggled in front of goals lately. In those two losses in a row, the Giants have scored just 14 goals (23 behinds). Jeremy Cameron injured his hamstring again in the Crows match and Johnson would be the likely replacement.

Last 5 Matches:
LOST by 36 – Giants 6.12.48, Crows 12.12.84 – Qualifying Final, 2017
LOST by 44 – Giants 8.11.59, Cats 15.13.103 – Round 23, 2017
WON by 21 – Giants 12.9.81, Eagles 9.6.60 – Round 22, 2017
WON by 48 – Giants 16.9.105, Bulldogs 7.15.57 – Round 21, 2017
WON by 35 – Giants 14.13.97, Demons 10.2.62 – Round 20, 2017

Eagles Form:

West Coast won a thrilling extra time final against the Power last week. Sam Mitchell, Drew Petrie and Matt Priddis are all retiring but they showed no signs of age as they dominated the Power’s young midfield/defence. They’ll look for the same result against the young Giants. They now travel to Western Sydney and they’ll take confidence from last week. They’ve won three of the last four and they could win this. But they haven’t performed well in away matches this season as they went 5-7 in 12 matches. They also look against the Giants recently at this venue and will need to convert their opportunities.

Last 5 Matches:
WON by 2 – Eagles 12.6.78, Power 10.16.76 – Elimination Final, 2017
WON by 29 – Eagles 15.10.100, Crows 10.11.71 – Round 23, 2017
LOST by 21 – Eagles 9.6.60, Giants 12.9.81 – Round 22, 2017
WON by 17 – Eagles 15.10.100, Blues 12.11.83 – Round 21, 2017
LOST by 8 – Eagles 14.11.95, Saints 15.13.103 – Round 20, 2017

Head to Head (Since 2010) – Eagles: 5-2

The Giants won by 21 points in Round 22 at this venue. They also beat the Eagles by 8 points in Round 10.

Last 2 Meetings:

Giants won by 21 points – Round 22, 2017 – Giants 12.9.81 d Eagles 9.6.60 (141 total points)
Giants won by 8 points – Round 10, 2017 – Giants 14.14.98 d Eagles 14.6.90 (188 total points)

Big Win Little Win

In the last three meetings, the margin has finished under 22 points so we’re expecting another close match. The Eagles last five matches have finished under 39 points and the 1-39 margin saluted in the last meeting between the sides. The Giants closest margin in the last 5 weeks is 21 points, which was actually against the Eagles. So we would expect another 1-39 margin here. We would back the Giants here as they play well at home.
Best bet: Giants 1-39 ($2.10)

Prediction:

The Giants weren’t great last week but home ground advantage should help this week. The Eagles played into extra-time last week and they have the momentum now. We think the Giants will scrape through but the Eagles at +17.5 is the best bet.
Eagles +17.5 ($1.92)

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